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Solar Flares, Coronal Mass Ejections and Solar Wind - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM

Solar X-rays   Geomagnetic Field
 
Auroral Oval X-Ray Flux
AURORAL OVAL - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM X-RAY FLUX - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM
 
ACE Real-Time Solar Wind Satellite Environment Plot
Satellite Environment Plot - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM ACE Real-Time Solar Wind - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2014 Jul 23 2200 UTC


Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 204 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jul 2014


IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Jul,
25 Jul, 26 Jul).


IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
363 km/s at 22/2104Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 23/2036Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 23/1914Z.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (24 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (25 Jul, 26 Jul).


III.  Event probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green


IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jul 099
Predicted   24 Jul-26 Jul 100/105/115
90 Day Mean        23 Jul 130


V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jul  006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jul  004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jul-26 Jul  006/005-008/008-007/008


VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/20/20
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    10/15/15

STEREO Movie Solar Wind
EUVI 195 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM SOLAR WIND - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM
 
Solar Dynamics Observatory
 
EIT 171 EIT 195 EIT 284 EIT 304
EIT 171 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM EIT 195 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM EIT 284 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM EIT 304 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM
 
MDI Continuum MDI Magnetogram LASCO C2 LASCO C3
MDI CONTINUUM - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM MDI MAGNETOGRAM - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM LASCO C2 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM LASCO C3 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM
 
STEREO BEHIND STEREO AHEAD
BEHIND EUVI 195 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM AHEAD EUVI 195 - 7/24/2014 12:15:00 AM
Solar X-rays

Geomagnetic Field

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New technology illuminates colder objects in deep space

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VLT clears up dusty mysteryVLT clears up dusty mystery

Cosmic grains of dust formed in supernova explosionCosmic grains of dust formed in supernova explosion

Astronomers bring the third dimension to a doomed star's outburstAstronomers bring the third dimension to a doomed star's outburst

Planet Mercury a result of early hit-and-run collisionsPlanet Mercury a result of early hit-and-run collisions



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